Site icon Newscope

Morning cheer disappears at day close 

Morning cheer disappears at day close

Morning cheer disappears at day close

It was a classic open-high, close-low session. Dalal Street started with a spring in its step and ended with a limp. 

The numbers from your screenshots say it all. The BSE Sensex ended at 77,472.94, down 183.16 points or 0.24% at 3:32 pm IST. It had opened strong at 77,892.10, sprinted to an intraday high of 77,986.84, and then bled all the way to hit the day’s low at close. 

The pain was sharper on the Nifty. The Nifty 50 shut shop at 24,207.75, down 126.80 points or 0.52% at 3:30 pm. Open was 24,341.95, high 24,378.60, low 24,207.75 – again, the close was the low. Previous close stood at 24,334.55 for Nifty and 77,656.09 for Sensex, meaning yesterday’s expiry-day bounce has been fully wiped out. 

The intraday chart is brutal – a vertical pop at 9:15 am, then a relentless downward staircase till 2 pm, a dead-cat bounce around 3 pm, and then another slide. 

MORNING CHEER, AFTERNOON JEER: Crude Story Loses Steam 

Why did we open up at all? Thank the Strait of Hormuz. 

Brent crude, the villain for the last fortnight, collapsed 2.6-2.7% to $86.22-$86.30 per barrel. WTI fell more than 6% in two sessions to $80-81. The trigger: Iran and Oman said they had discussed a joint temporary navigational corridor through the Strait and agreed to clear mines from the waterway. 

That sparked hopes of easing supply disruption risk. “Recent developments involving Iran and Oman had raised cautious optimism that supply-disruption risks could ease, adding that further progress could support energy markets,” noted Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money. 

At 9:15 am, Nifty rose 0.03% to 24,341.95 and Sensex climbed 285 points to 77,944.02. Thirteen of 16 major sectors were green. Midcaps and smallcaps added 0.2% each. Asian Paints, ICICI Bank, SBI, IndiGo and SBI Life were top gainers in early trade. 

But global cues never cooperated. Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.5%, Korea’s Kospi dropped 0.12%, US futures stayed down 0.3%, and all eyes were on Nvidia’s Q2 earnings due overnight. Foreign flows were also choppy – while FIIs bought Rs 1,594 crore on Tuesday after buying the previous day, they had sold Rs 2,466 crore on Monday. Investors chose to sell into strength. 

WINNERS & LOSERS: Banks Save Blushes, IT Drags 

The sectoral map today was a split screen. 

On the green side: PSU Bank, Private Bank, Financial Services, Cement and Realty held firm. Most Nifty sectoral indices were trading with gains during the day, led by PSU banks. 

On the red side: Export-facing and consumption names collapsed. IT, FMCG, Auto, Consumer Durables, Metal and Pharma were under pressure. Infosys, Bharti Airtel, L&T, Bharat Electronics, Sun Pharma and Dr Reddy’s were among the top laggards – a clear play on US exposure. 

BOARDROOM BUZZ: From Whisky to Runways 

It was a heavy news day on Corporate Row: 

1. Bottling More Deals: Tilaknagar Industries, maker of Mansion House brandy, said it is open to another large acquisition after its $500 million buyout of Pernod Ricard’s Imperial Blue. Q1 revenue nearly tripled to Rs 10.26 billion with Imperial Blue accounting for two-thirds of volume. 

2. Turbulence for Maharaja: Air India has reportedly sought $1.5 billion in emergency funding from Tata Sons and Singapore Airlines as losses pile up from Pakistan airspace closure, Iran conflict and aircraft grounding. 

3. Blockbuster Blocks: In a double blockbuster, US investor Ribbit Capital is selling 1.6% in Groww parent Billionbrains for Rs 1,914 crore, while Welspun Corp promoters are offloading Rs 1,417 crore worth of shares. 

4. Gaja Gets Dalal Street Salute: Gaja Capital, the homegrown PE firm, made its market debut today after its Rs 550 crore IPO got 31x subscription. 

5. Sweet And Sour: Govt allowed duty-free import of 1 million tonnes of raw sugar till Oct 31 to cool prices, but mills may only bring half due to weak domestic realisations. 

6. 5G on Wheels: Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles joined hands with Tata Communications to make its upcoming http://Sierra.ev India’s first 5G-native SUV platform. 

THE GEOPOLITICAL OVERHANG: T-Minus 1 Day To 50% Tariffs 

If crude was the morning hero, trade war is the afternoon villain. Tomorrow, August 27, the US will levy an additional 25% punitive duty on Indian goods for buying Russian oil, taking total tariffs to a crushing 50%. 

This is no small pinch. As per GTRI, $60.2 billion of India’s $86.5 billion exports to US – 66% of basket – will face 50% duty. This includes textiles, gems & jewellery, shrimp, carpets, furniture. Exports could plunge 70% to $18.6 billion, and overall shipments to US could crash 43% to $49.6 billion in FY26. 

The labour impact is severe. Jewellery industry alone fears 1 lakh job losses. Competitors Vietnam, Bangladesh, Mexico, even Pakistan and Kenya, are set to gain market share. 

“This policy shift redistributes market share… The intent appears less about trade correction and more about punitive targeting,” said XLRI Professor Trilochan Tripathy, adding it could shave 0.3-0.5% off GDP. The US wants access to India’s agri market – GM corn, soybean – which India has refused to protect 60% farm-dependent population. 

On the West Asia front, there is a silver lining. US is sending back staff to some Middle East missions evacuated during Iran conflict, signalling de-escalation after the Oman mediation. 

TRADER’S TAKE: 24,100 Is The Line In Sand 

Technically, Nifty closed below its crucial 24,250 support, turning the 24,100-24,000 zone into the next battleground. For Sensex, 77,000-77,125 is the make-or-break support. Resistance at 77,800-78,000 proved impregnable today. 

Strategy: Expect stock-specific action till tariff clarity emerges. Domestic-facing banks and cement may outperform; export-facing textiles, shrimps and jewellery stay avoid. 

Bottomline: Dalal Street got a crude oil gift but refused to open it because a bigger tariff bill was waiting on the table. 

Author

Exit mobile version